This pick was released to clients on September 29, 2024 at 12:36PM ET.
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Las Vegas at New York

September 29, 2024
img3:00 PM Eastern
Premium Pick

New York is just 7-20 ATS its past 27 home games and 2-8 ATS overall after a win. Las Vegas is in triple-revenge although it covered as a 9.5-point road underdog in a 75-71 loss to the Liberty on Sept. 8 without star forward A'ja Wilson. Kelsey Plum scored 25 points and the Aces kept it close despite shooting only 36 percent. The Aces are 10-1-1 ATS their past 12 games and a big factor has been improved play on the defensive end and they are 24-17-1 UNDER this season. All three meetings this year have stayed UNDER, including by 21.5 points in the last one. New York has gone UNDER six of nine and it is 16-7-1 UNDER its past 24 games, including 7-2 UNDER at home. The Liberty have stayed UNDER six of seven with at least three days rest and they are 5-0 UNDER their past five versus teams with winning records. Take the Aces and the UNDER.

1 unit on Las Vegas +4.5 (-115) (risk 1 to return 1.87)
Result:
LOSS
1.5 units on Game Total UNDER 164 -116 (risk 1.5 to return 2.79)
Result:
PUSH
FINAL
1
2
3
4
F
Las Vegas Aces
21
17
24
15
77
New York Liberty img
28
20
23
16
87
consensus consensus
odds odds
 
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