Indiana at Phoenix

There is a decided home-court advantage in the WNBA that shows home favorites win 66% of all games. So what becomes the matter of importance here is if the 4.5 points offered in this one can make a difference? My feeling is no, it does not. This is an Indiana team that peaked too soon during the season and although they remain a good team, they aren't playing at the same level. It has really shown itself on the road where a team at its peak was going 7-3 on the road, has now gone just 3-7 in their last 10 on the road, even more recently just 2-6. Phoenix appears to be peaking at the right time and playing with confidence. If there is one thing to note about this team, it is the fact when they win they win convincingly. They haven't had a good season because they are winning games at the buzzer. In their last 17 wins, dating all the way back to July 15, Phoenix has shown them winning them all by at least six points. The fact is that of their 27 wins this season, including the postseason, just one of them has been by fewer than six points. The points don't matter here, so I'm going with Phoenix.