Indiana at Minnesota

Minnesota has a championship pedigree after capturing titles during the 2011 and 2013 seasons. The Fever went on to squash Minnesota's hopes of a three-peat with a stellar 2012 showing, so there's a bit of payback for the home team in this series. Minnesota has won seven of 10, and is peaking at the right time. Minnesota has exceptional balance; fifth in points scored, fourth in rebounding, second in assists, and third in points allowed. The Lynx are 4-1 ATS against a team with a winning record, plus 7-3 ATS in their last 10 WNBA Championship games. You need defense for these title clashes, and the Lynx defense allows 41.5% shooting, ranking fourth in the WNBA while Indiana ranks fourth worst. Minnesota also held opponents to just 31.1 percent of their three-pointers. Indiana has some weaknesses that can be exploited, ranked eighth in rebounding, 11th in assists, and sixth in points allowed. And if it comes down to the all important free throw shooting, Minnesota has another significant edge ranked second at 82.3% while Indiana ranks fourth worst from the charity stripe. Take Minnesota in Game One.