Indiana at Connecticut

Indiana comes in with a very impressive 10-4 mark including a winning road record which is rare in the WNBA. But, they are facing a tough challenge here. Connecticut is just 2-5 on the road, but a perfect 5-0 here at home, where they have won on average by double-digits. They can beat anyone here, and also cover the spread in the process. The past three seasons, the Sun are 13-4 ATS at home vs. winning teams. They are also 12-2 ATS the past two seasons as a home favorite of 6 points or less. Finally, the Sun have the motivation of revenge and this team is 11-2 ATS at home the past three seasons when playing with revenge. I like Connecticut to win and cover.