Indiana at Chicago

There aren't too many teams that win on the road in the WNBA. This season, just Indiana and Phoenix have winning road records. They are extremes in terms of league standards. Phoenix wins by just plain outscoring their opponents and Indiana wins by out defending them. The Fever is the leader in fewest points per game allowed in the WNBA. Chicago looks to be more of an offensive team, but when you dig inside the numbers, something very revealing is discovered. The Sky have amazingly allowed 75 points or more on the road in 16 of their 17 road games. When they play at home that 75 minimum they allow on the road, is the average of what they allow at home! That is quite the extreme. So the defense that doesn't show up on the road, has been part of what they do at home all season - a much better defensive club. These teams have historically played to the UNDER as five of their last six have gone below the total, and the Fever have played seven of their last nine UNDER overall. I will go UNDER in this one.