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Detroit at Sacramento

July 19, 2009
img9:00 PM Eastern
Premium Pick

I like the Monarchs here on the moneyline a lot. They have significant motivation here to win this game. First off, in a season in which wins are rare, this is a rare opportunity to notch another one. Secondly, they are seeking revenge for a double-digit blowout loss to the Shock in their last game. I expect Sacramento to really come out and play tonight. Detroit just isn't very good this season and expecting them to win on the road vs. a motivated opponent is expecting a lot. Detroit is just a .500 team in their history when facing teams that are .250 or worse. Meanwhile, Sacramento is 101-56 straight-up vs. teams with a losing record. That includes a 42-15 mark vs. teams at .250 to .400. Since last season, the Monarchs are 10-3 straight-up at home vs. teams that allow 73+ points per game. They are also 171-59 overall in their lifetime as a favorite including 139-49 as a home favorite. Narrow that to games in which they are -155 to -250 and their record is a stellar 58-11 straight-up. This is a very winnable game for Sacramento and I think they take advantage.

3 units on Sacramento -3.5 (-105) (risk 3 to return 3)
Result:
LOSS
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