This pick was released to clients on May 27, 2023 at 11:05AM ET.
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Dallas at Phoenix

May 27, 2017
img10:00 PM Eastern
Premium Pick

The Dallas Wings are off to a surprising start as they are 2-1 and have covered all three games, including a 10-point win at Phoenix 68-58. They won that game by dominating the boards, winning the battle by 24. Dallas has been well under the radar, as this was a team that started to come together last year late in the season. The Wings lost 11 straight games at one point, but since then they are 4-3 SU and 5-2 ATS. They played Minnesota to a two-point game at home in their only loss. Phoenix has the reputation of being a strong home team after finishing 21-1 here in 2014, but each year since they have been worse, and have started just 1-2 here this season. Phoenix has the reputation for putting a lot of points on the board, but things have changed from a couple years ago when this team defended poorly and raced up and down the court, and the oddsmakers have yet to close the gap in their games. Their first meeting here was very low-scoring at just 126 total points scored by both teams. The Mercury are now 53-21 to the UNDER in their last 84 at home. Phoenix is showing a declining history at home, and the improving Wings calls for Dallas and the UNDER in this one.

2 units on Dallas +7 (-105) (risk 2 to return 3.9)
Result:
LOSS
1.5 units on Game Total UNDER 156 -105 (risk 1.5 to return 2.93)
Result:
LOSS
Final
1
2
3
4
F
Dallas Wings
17
19
16
13
65
Phoenix Mercury img
25
21
30
31
107
consensus consensus
odds odds
 
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