Connecticut at Minnesota

Connecticut trailed in Game 4 by seven points at halftime before surging ahead with a 25-13 rally in the third quarter, winning 92-82. The Sun shot 54 percent overall and went 8-for-15 on 3-point tries and the Lynx were led by Napheesa Collier's 29 points and only two other Lynx scorers were in double figures. Now the series shifts to Minnesota where the first two games of the series were lower-scoring affairs, and where the Lynx seem to play better defense. The Lynx are 19-5 straight up at home this season and 14-6-1 ATS their past 21 games overall. Connecticut is 3-8 ATS playing with one day of rest and 2-6 ATS its past eight against teams with winning records. Minnesota is a small favorite in Game 5. I'm backing Minnesota on the moneyline.