Connecticut at Los Angeles

Connecticut is 3,000 miles from home, playing its seventh road game in the last 10 contests. They had to play last night at Seattle, so the rested home team is going to run at the visitors. Connecticut can run with anyone, second in the WNBA in scoring (86.9 points per game), on a 9-3 run OVER the total. They are also 10-4 OVER when playing on no rest, plus 29-16 OVER after scoring 75+ points in two straight games. The Los Angeles Sparks have a dynamite one-two offensive punch in Candace Parker and reigning WNBA MVP Nneke Ogwumike, averaging 84.3 ppg (third in the league). Los Angeles is delighted to be home after a two-game skid on the road, as well as playing five of their last six away. They've scored 99, 79, 97, 80 and 90 points in five of their last six home contests. Connecticut is 38-24 OVER the total against teams averaging 73+ points per game, as well as 39-25 OVER versus teams averaging 62+ shots per contest. The OVER is also 11-5 in the last 16 meetings in Los Angeles. Play this one to finish OVER the total.