Connecticut at Dallas

Dallas is a big favorite at home, but terrible defensively at #11th in points allowed and #11 in assists on offense. Dallas has a losing record overall, a losing record at home, and is on a 5-8 straight up run. In their last home game, the Wings were a six-point favorite over Indiana and lost 92-87, allowing 49.2% shooting. The Wings are 2-8 ATS in their last 10 home games, plus 5-12-1 ATS playing on one day of rest. Connecticut winds up a four-game trip playing better after a bad start to the year. They beat Seattle as a +7.5 dog, topped San Antonio, took Washington to triple OT as a dog, and two games ago lost at powerhouse Los Angeles just 80-73 as a big dog. Connecticut has been undervalued, covering four of five, and is 16-6-1 ATS against the Western Conference. Play Connecticut.