Connecticut at Chicago

The Connecticut Sun have pulled off an amazing feat so far in 2012. This team is 7-1 on the road which is virtually unheard of in the WNBA. Their success away from home hasn't come from great offense however. While this team scores nearly 87 points per game at home, they average 78.6 on the road - an 8 point drop off. Their success has been defense. They actually allow less per game on the road than they do at home. And, in division games, they really turn up the defense, shaving over 3 points per game off their normal average. Chicago plays solid defense (74.4 allowed per game at home). The Sun are coming off an OVER and they are 56-31 to the UNDER in that situation lifetime. They are also 28-10 UNDER when following a home win in which they scored 85 or more. I like this game to come in UNDER the total.