Connecticut at Atlanta

The Atlanta Dream has done a complete about face. They started the 2011 campaign behind the 8-ball at 3-9, but winners of 15 of their last 20 has them looking like the team most thought we'd see at the beginning of the season. It took a long time, but the message has gotten through, that if they refused to play defense, they were going home at the end of the regular season. The Dream who allowed more than 80 points in 10 of the first 12 while going 3-9, has allowed more than 80 in just seven of their last 20, going 15-5 - clearly the difference in this team. The total here is in the mid-160s, so that magic 80+ mark comes into play, and has been difficult to achieve for Dream opponents. The Sun are bowing their backs on the defensive end of late, allowing just 51.5 points per game in their last two won't make the 80s easy for the Dream either. This one falls short of the total, so the UNDER is the play.