Connecticut at Atlanta

Connecticut opened the season with an impressive home win over Chicago, but now they must face the Dream who has started 2-0, beating two good teams in San Antonio and Indiana. I think Atlanta probably covers this spread, but I think the better play is a safer one on them to win outright. Atlanta has covered the spread nine out of 10 times the past two seasons after a win by 6+ points. I think they keep their momentum going here and get their third straight win. I also like this game to go OVER the total. Connecticut put up 74 in their opener and Atlanta is averaging over 70 per game. When Atlanta has been involved in a game in which both teams top 70 points, they are 24-5 OVER dating back to last season. In their last meeting in September of last season, the Dream put up 88 points. When coming off an UNDER, Connecticut is 42-24 OVER. I like the Dream to get it done in a high-scoring affair.