Chicago at Phoenix

This could be a tough spot for Phoenix, obviously the far superior team here. Phoenix had to feel that if they got past Minnesota the title is theirs with the East being weak and represented by a losing team in the Chicago Sky. Let's not turn the lights out on this series yet, remember just two years ago, the Indiana Fever took down Minnesota in the Finals. The Sky are an under-valued team right now, growing in confidence. The Sky missed 58 games from their top eight players this season. Remember, they started out the season at 4-0 before injuries began to take their toll, and they finished 9-5 including the playoffs in their last 14 as they got healthier. That 13-6 looks a lot better than what happened due to injuries. I still think Phoenix is the better team, but the odds makers here have made them over-valued and the door is open for the Sky to play inside a big number. The Sky will not allow the Mercury to get out and run and will play a possession game, which has been the trend in the Mercury's last 14 games compared to their previous 22. The last 14 has seen them hit 80 or more points in just five of them, while the previous 22 saw them at 80 or more in 18. Phoenix is just 17-36 ATS in their last 53 games on three days rest or more, and the Sky has dug in deep on the defensive end after a spread win where they are 18-6 to the UNDER in their last 24. The Sky is also 22-8 to the UNDER in their last 30 on the road. And as mentioned earlier, Phoenix has been slowed down late in the season, resulting in a 12-4 mark to the UNDER in their last 16 games. Grab the points here. Play on Chicago as my WNBA Playoffs GOY and the Chicago/Phoenix UNDER the total.