Atlanta at Phoenix

Phoenix is not a strong defensive team allowing 82.2 points per game, and Atlanta is 34-20 ATS when they score 78 or more points in a game. Atlanta has won two of its last three games, including as a +4.5 dog to Seattle, and WNBA road dogs with a winning percentage of 25-40% are 64-31 ATS after having won two of three. Phoenix clinched a home game in the playoffs with an 86-66 win over the Connecticut Sun on Friday. Phoenix is on a 2-5 spread run at home, plus 0-5 ATS playing on one day of rest. The Dream and the Mercury split their two previous meetings this season. Both games were close with Phoenix winning 89-84 at home on July 12 and Atlanta avenging that loss with a 99-91 overtime win at home on July 25. And Phoenix is 8-20 ATS after two or more consecutive wins. Play Atlanta.