Atlanta at New York

The oddsmakers have over-reacted to the total in this one. These teams played to a total of 161 and 161.5 in their first two meetings this season, and Atlanta hit the century mark in one of them. The Dream have played three straight unders so the number here has fallen by 14 points on the total. Their opponent the New York Liberty has already allowed 90 or more points five times this season. The dream is 34-16-1 to the OVER in their last 51 as a dog and 11-4-1 to the OVER in their last 16 on the road. The adjustment by the books is excessive here, play on the OVER.