Atlanta at New York

Atlanta has a better road record than New York has at home. Atlanta has a winning record on the season and has won four of the last six, including upset wins at Seattle (67-64 as a +7.5 dog) and against Connecticut (82-77). Atlanta is doing it with defense, second in the WNBA in points allowed. Atlanta comes off a defeat but is a great bounce-back team, not having lost two straight all season. They face a New York squad that struggles on the boards (ninth in rebounding) and has lost four of five. In their last home game New York was a double-digit favorite and lost to Vegas, 78-63. The Liberty are #10 in the WNBA in points scored, getting outscored on the season. New York has been favored six times this season but has a 3-6 record, so fade the overrated home team again. Play Atlanta.