Atlanta at Minnesota

Atlanta won the first meeting 76-74 and the game went UNDER by six points. The last three meetings have stayed UNDER and the Dream is 9-5 UNDER this season. Atlanta is getting double-digit points in the rematch although it is 5-2 ATS following an ATS loss and 5-0 ATS its last five games against teams with winning records. Minnesota has covered the spread just three of its last 10 home contests. The Dream is 6-1 UNDER when following a loss and 12-5 UNDER its last 17 games dating to last season. Atlanta holds opponents to just a .410 field goal percentage and 78.2 points per game, which is nearly identical to the 78.7 points per game that Lynx allow. Renee Montgomery led the Dream with 19 points and Elizabeth Williams and Layshia Clarendon added 13 points apiece against Chicago on Wednesday. Atlanta has enough offense to cover this big number, so play the Dream and the UNDER.