Atlanta at Connecticut

Connecticut  is overvalued by oddsmakers, 1-3 against the spread the last four games. Connecticut is a big favorite here, but outscoring opponents by just four points per game as its defense is giving up over 80 points per contest, one of only four teams to be giving up that many. In fact, of those four teams, Connecticut is the only one with a winning record. The Sun picked up a huge road win in Indiana 89-81, but allowed nine of 22 from behind the arc (41%). Atlanta comes to town with a fine offense, a group outscoring opponents by a 79-77 average with a one-two punch of Angel McCoughtry and Lindsey Harding. The Dream beat San Antonio 60-57 in Atlanta on Friday as they allowed 38% shooting. Atlanta has allowed only two of seven opponents to score over 79 points and one was in overtime. These teams met in the playoffs last September and Atlanta swept Connecticut, winning two games 89-84 and 69-64. They won the opener of this series with an overwhelming 47-29 rebounding edge.  Atlanta made the WNBA Finals last year and is on a 24-13 run counting the postseason. Play Atlanta.