Indiana has a losing road record and got routed in Game 1 of this series, 93-69. Connecticut shot 49.3% from the field and 50% from long range along with a 50-36 edge in points in the paint. Defense has been a problem all season for Indiana, ranked 11th in the 12-team league in points given up (87.78 per game) and eighth in shooting allowed. Connecticut is 15-6 straight up at home and No. 1 defensively in points allowed. Connecticut has won four of the five meetings versus Indiana this season, including a perfect 3-0 at home winning by scores of 92-71, 89-72, and 93-69.
Phoenix is eighth in points allowed, ninth in points surrendered, and seventh in field goal shooting allowed. They lost Game 1, 102-95, despite shooting 50%. Minnesota is second defensively in points given up and No. 1 in shooting allowed (41.32%). The Lynx is 17-4 straight-up at home with an offense that is third in shooting, fifth in scoring, fifth in free throws, and No. 1 from 3-point land (38%). Minnesota has won all three home games against Phoenix, 95-71, 73-60, and 102-95. Parlay the Sun (-265) on the moneyline with the Lynx (-450) on the moneyline.