Tonight I have picks for both semi-final matchups. The Connecticut Sun have a one-game lead after fighting off a late push from Chicago on Sunday. With Dewanna Bonner coming off a 15-point performance, including a game sealing breakaway bucket, the Sun will be playing with great intensity and they are 13-7 ATS (65%) this year away from home. Connecticut has coverered eight-straight road games and they are 5-2 ATS this season with getting points on the road. Jonquel Jones, 2021 league MVP, is determined to cement herself as a perennial powerhouse, and her team's 21-4 SU, 19-4-2 ATS record in August-September games the past two years can't be denied.
In the late game, the Las Vegas Aces seek to even the series with the Storm and will be looking for a hot start after going down 11 points in the opening quarter of Game 1. Kelsey Plum, one of the leagues best 3-point shooters this year, will take aim from deep after shooting 2-10 in game one (still bolstering 20 points), while A’Ja Wilson continues to dominate the paint recording 12 rebounds in the Game 1 loss. Big night for the Aces to bounce back at home and fight off Sue Bird’s farewell tour. Vegas is 15-3 SU with two-plus days of rest. Combine the Sun +5 and the Aces (-225) on the moneyline into a 2-team parlay at +182 odds.