WNBA basketball provides fans a chance to watch their favorite teams and bettors the opportunity to watch and win. Watching the basketball games at night is the easy part. That's because all the hard work has already been done during the day to identify the weakest odds. Sportsbooks make their profit from casual bettors who lack deep wagering knowledge and simply want action on a game they're viewing when they make their WNBA picks. Occasional bettors love parlays, attaching multiple teams to the same bet, but that's not smart money management. Sportsbooks love WNBA parlay bettors. For the books, basketball single or straight bets earn an average of 5.5 cents on every dollar wagered, while parlays bring back a whopping 32 cents per dollar. If the books didn't turn a profit they wouldn't be in business. And if you want to earn a profit betting WNBA basketball, you need to know the teams, the odds, and the right way to wager.
Need help with your WNBA picks? Follow my WNBA consensus picks to see where the pubic is betting.
Why Use Free WNBA Picks for Tonight
If you want to beat the spread on a consistent basis, you have to come to the wagering window armed with the right information. WNBA on-court matchups and stats are a great start but just two small pieces of a complex betting puzzle. As in all sports, coaches determine the style of play a team has, such as uptempo or defensive-oriented. Starting talent and roster depth factor in, along with situations such as long road trips, rivalries, and injuries. In one recent season, the best team in the league went on its first four-game road trip - and went 2-2 straight up, 1-3 ATS favored in all four games. And they ended their longest road trip of the season on a 1-2 SU/ATS run, even losing at Dallas, 82-80, as an 8-point favorite. A serious bettor who wants to cash WNBA winning tickets can never have enough daily news and information.
Betting Value in Free WNBA Picks for Tonight
Sportsbooks are not in business to give money away. Their jobs are to make strong lines that elicit two-way action. But experience and a trained eye can find wagering value in a variety of places. Multiple matchups on the court can favor one team. Another WNBA team could play much better at home than their overall stats or record suggests, so they can be undervalued on their home court. Oddsmakers can overcompensate for injuries but many teams have quality depth and strong role players that can negate key injuries for a few games. In addition, the oddsmakers can have the favorite and underdog nailed, but the betting value can be in other places on the same game, such as with the total, props, WNBA moneylines, and team totals.
Wunderdog Free WNBA Picks for Tonight
As a longtime sports fan with a background in mathematics, I've been in the sports handicapping business for over two decades consistently beating the books. It takes a lot of daily digging. Unearthing relevant team information, deciphering matchups, analyzing trends and totals, and watching line movement are all pieces of a puzzle built over years of study and wagering. The books make their profit by taking money from the average "joe bettor". I'm one of the far smaller pool of professional bettors who pick their spots carefully working to take some of that profit back from the books. And I'll gladly share that expertise with you.
Free WNBA Picks for Tonight vs. Premium Picks
Free WNBA Picks for Tonight Pros:
- Keeps you informed on a sport that gets less media attention
- Line movement identified and explained
- Helps you digest the essential mechanics of handicapping
Free WNBA Picks for Tonight Cons:
- Too many plays on a limited card
- Stay away from parlays unless recommended by a pro with the reasons why
- No guidance on proper money management
Premium WNBA Picks for Tonight Pros:
- Line movement anticipated and explained
- Exclusive insight into who the Vegas pros are backing and why
- Unearths key information on WNBA teams you don't have time to examine
Premium WNBA Picks for Tonight Cons:
- Forced picks on WNBA basketball TV games
- Ignoring props, totals, moneylines, and team totals
- Beware of marketing hype and "games that can't lose"
How To Win With Free WNBA Picks for Tonight
If you wager simply for fun, you can analyze and bet any way you like. But for me, the only fun is winning, cashing tickets, or passing if there is no value on the card. You win by putting in the effort, examining matchups, stats, and situations, and assessing where the line value lies. Do some research on your own, but augment your own handicapping research with insight from a betting professional.
Free WNBA Picks for Tonight Betting Strategy
Home Underdogs
Professional and college basketball teams generally have the widest home/road won/lost differential in sports. There are a lot of reasons for it, such as the noise created by indoor arenas for basketball games, to the road travel, to players being comfortable at the same venue they've been practicing in for years. In one recent WNBA season, Washington and Los Angeles were both 4-12 on the road but 8-8 at home. That same year, Connecticut had just six regular-season defeats but five were on the road. Washington had a stretch playing seven of eight on the road and went 1-7 SU/2-6 ATS. They then went on a five-game homestand and went 3-1-1 ATS, including an 85-78 win over Seattle as a +8 dog and a victory over Dallas as a WNBA home underdog. Pay close attention to home underdogs. Is this really a mismatch with the visitors being better? Is the home team undervalued? Or does the situation actually work against the visitors?
Turnovers
Powerful frontcourt players garnish a lot of attention in basketball, but successful handicappers examine all aspects of the game. Turnovers are a subtle but powerful stat that sheds light on matchups, wins/losses, and spread covers. This is especially true early in a WNBA basketball season. Teams that are sloppy and turn it over a lot have weaknesses that will be exploited by opponents. This could be because the point guard play is subpar or the coach isn't very good at teaching and getting players to improve during practice. When Indiana led the WNBA in turnovers, it was evident in the opening week of the campaign losing to Washington and Los Angeles by double-digits with 18 and 19 turnovers. They began the season 7-16 against the spread. A rebuilding Minnesota squad also opened that season with double-digit losses turning it over 17 and 16 times. The Lynx started 5-9 against the spread before oddsmakers began catching up.
Sandwich Spots
A basketball sandwich situation is when a team has two important games sandwiched around a less important one. For handicappers, that less important game is the one to take a close look at. A team is likely to be very focused on the two big games but might not bring their "A" game to the sandwich spot. One season, the WNBA Western Conference had a tight race for the top seed between Las Vegas, Minnesota, Seattle, and Phoenix. Late in the season, Las Vegas had a pair of home games, including a showdown versus Minnesota. They won and covered both home games but sandwiched around those two was a road trip to play a .500 Chicago squad. Las Vegas was a road favorite but lost straight up at Chicago, 92-84. Sandwich spots can provide multiple wagering value, too, such as backing the home dog on both the point spread and the moneyline if you deduce they might be able to pull the upset.
Free WNBA Picks for Tonight Subscription
I isolate the key factors on the court and at the betting window. Winning at WNBA basketball requires a combination of putting in the work, knowing the odds, an experienced eye, and judgment on how far off the numbers are. All of my selections include in-depth reasoning, often with multiple handicapping factors in play. It's not easy. It takes time to grasp the mechanics of sports handicapping, but winning regularly is achievable. Signing up for my free WNBA picks gives you instant access to essential winning wagering insight at no cost or risk. It's not about hoping Lady Luck is in your corner - it's taking the steps to make it happen.
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