SC Paderborn 07 is ranked #13 in the 18-team Bundesliga 2 with a weak offense (18 goals netted in 14 contests). They come off of a 2-1 loss to Fortuna Dusseldorf and have surrendered 11 goals in their last six matches. They have home field for this one, but are winless in their last two home games allowing 2 goals each time. Sixth-ranked Erzgebirge Aue is in town, winning two of three, including a 4-1 rout of seventh-ranked Karlsruher SC. They're outscoring league foes by +7, the fifth-best differential. Erzgebirge Aue won the last meeting with SC Paderborn 07, 2-1, and are primed to do it again. Play Erzgebirge Aue on the moneyline.
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