This pick was released to clients on March 24, 2023 at 7:44PM ET.
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Morocco vs. Brazil

March 25, 2023
img5:00 PM Eastern
Premium Pick

There are two strong plus-money value plays on this Club Friendlies matchup. Brazil is the big name team but is dealing with a lot of changes. Brazil hasn't played since December during a disappointing World Cup, losing two out of three to Cameroon and Croatia despite being the tournament favorites. They let go of manager Tite, so this is their first game with interim manager Ramon Menezes. In addition, star forward Neymar won't play due to injury, while forward Gabriel Martinelli, central midfielder Bruno Guimaraes, winger Raphinha Belloli, and goalkeeper Alisson Becker were not called up by Menezes for this match. Brazil's last three road games have been a 1-0 win over Japan, a 1-0 loss to Cameroon, and a 1-1 game versus Croatia eventually losing on penalties. Feisty Morocco has home field and impressed during the World Cup, knocking off Canada, Spain, and Portugal, before falling in close losses to powerhouse France and Croatia. Morocco is on a 19-3-1 run at home outscoring visitors 44-12, including a recent 0-0 DRAW with Croatia and playing Spain to a 0-0 tie in regulation. Morocco and its fans will be sky-high for this one. The wagering value is the home team to pull the upset, as well as a potential regulation deadlock. Take Morocco on the moneyline + Morocco/Brazil to DRAW. 

1 unit on +255 (draw) (risk 1 to return 3.55)
Result:
LOSS
1 unit on Morocco +380 (moneyline) (risk 1 to return 4.8)
Result:
WIN
World - International Friendlies
1H
2H
F
Morocco img
1
0
2
Brazil
0
0
1
odds odds
 
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