FC Koln vs. Holstein Kiel

Koln is ranked #16 in the 18-team Bundesliga because of a terrible defense (60 goals surrendered in 34 matches). That's the second-most allowed in the league. Seven of their last 10 have sailed OVER 2.5 goals, including four of their last five at home. They face Holstein Kiel of the Bundesliga 2, a team that likes to attack on offense (57 goals in 34 games) but has been soft defensively coming off three consecutive 3-2 games, including back-to-back losses to Karlsruher SC and Darmstadt 98. Seven of their last 11 have gone OVER 2.5 goals. Take Koln/Holstein Kiel OVER the total.