This pick was released to clients on October 05, 2023 at 5:41PM ET.
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Italy vs. Spain

October 6, 2021
img2:45 PM Eastern
Premium Pick

It's the semi-finals of the UEFA Nations League. Spain is trying to find its way with several new faces, on a 2-2 run with losses to Sweden and this Italian squad in the European Championship. Spain is without injured central midfielders Pedro López and Thiago do Nascimento, attacking midfielder Daniel Carvajal, and star striker Alvaro Morata. All played a role in Spain's Euro 2020 competition. Spain has dropped two of its last three road games and has won just one of the last five encounters versus Italy, not winning on Italian soil since 1971. Meanwhile, Italy is clicking everywhere, on a 16-0-2 unbeaten run allowing just five goals. They've gone 38 straight games without defeat in all competitions and possess edges on defense and with depth. All five of their Nations League home games have seen two or fewer goals scored, so back home field in a defensive duel. Play Italy + UNDER the total. 

1 unit on Italy +132 (moneyline) (risk 1 to return 2.32)
Result:
LOSS
1.5 units on Game Total UNDER 2 +104 (risk 1.5 to return 3.06)
Result:
LOSS
Europe - UEFA Nations League
1H
2H
F
Italy
0
1
1
Spain img
2
0
2
odds odds
 
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