Guarani Campinas was in the Brazilian Serie B League two years ago going 12-18. They jumped to the Campeonato Paulista Série A1 in the São Paulo state football league last year but are back in the Brazilian Serie B now, outscoring opponents by +3 goals. But they have a tough challenge at home in this one against second-ranked America/MG, a team outscoring league foes by +14 anchored by the second-best defense. America/MG went 17-5 last year in Serie B and is on an impressive 7-1-3 run on the road outscoring home teams 12-6. They've never lost (4-0-3) to Guarani Campinas allowing just 0.4 goals, so back the more established visitors. Play America/MG on the moneyline.
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