Sports Betting Articles

Articles to help you bet better—whether you're a new or experienced sports bettor. Check out my philosophies for betting different sports, learn betting fundamentals, and discover new strategies to help you win more.

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Variance in Sports Betting

We all want to win at sports betting. If we didn't expect to win, we wouldn't do it. If you didn't expect me to help you win, you wouldn't hire me to provide advice. And, you should expect to win with my picks. But let me qualify that. You should expect to win over the long haul. Over

Sports Betting Explained

If you're looking for the basics of sports betting, explained in a way that's simple to understand, this article is for you. This is a guide on how to bet on sports for beginners. A betting for dummies guide, if you like. We’ll cover... Why people bet on sports How to bet on sports (for beginners) Sports betting terminology and glossary How to place a wager Setting expectations Why is Sports Betting So Popular? The Wall Street Journal estimates that

How Much Can You Win Sports Betting?

What should I expect? I often get asked, "So, how much can I expect to win if I use your picks?" It's a great question. While there isn't a simple one-word answer, we can answer the question by looking at an expected range of possible outcomes. How much can you win with my picks? What are the chances you’ll lose? What's the most likely outcome? Should you play

Sports Betting (ROI) - How to Calculate Return

This article addresses the return on money you invest in sports betting and what can expect at various winning percentages. Ever wonder how to calculate your return? What can you realistically expect at various winning percentages? Read on... This article assumes the “investment” we are speaking of is the money you set aside to risk in sports betting (i.e. you bankroll). For example, you might start the year with a bankroll of $10,000.

How to Win at Sports Betting

In this article… Learn how to win at sports betting and why the impatient gambler always loses in the long run. How to win at sports betting, consistently Why impatience is your biggest sports betting mistake Why streaks in sports betting are unavoidable The difference between winning and losing How to become a winning sports bettor If you don't

Sports Betting Money Management

Why the house usually wins (it's not what you think!) Wunderdog's law of sports betting How to avoid going broke How to manage your sports betting bankroll to win You are betting too much on each game! How can I say that without even knowing you? Because I've been doing this for a long time and have spent a lot of time understanding money management. 99% of sports bettors are betting too much. Think not? Think again. Would

Line Movement

What is a line movement? What causes line movements? Sharps vs. the public What are "key numbers" and "middling"? Options for betting on games with line movements What is line movement? When the line (spread) moves in one direction or the other, that's a line movement. Lines move often in sports betting. It is a rare line that stays exactly where it was opened by the sportsbooks. Here's an example of a line movement from Super Bowl XLIV. OPENING LINE 2 DAYS

Units Explained - How I Measure Bets

Units defined How unit wins/losses are calculated How I rate picks How my guarantee works What Are Units? If you’re wondering what a "unit" is or how I calculate my unit wins/losses, you’re in the right place. I make my picks based on units. I report my performance based on wins and losses, win percentage, and units won and lost. A "unit" is simply a standard measure of profit/loss. Since each

Halftime Betting & 2nd Half Lines

How to bet at halftime in the NFL The importance of line movement Is halftime betting right for you? You spent the last two hours handicapping a football game that is now approaching kick-off. You've even double-checked your picks against my free NFL picks against the spread for the week. Your efforts tell you that the Green Bay Packers should win the contest by at least three points. When

How to Lose at Sports Betting

Why the impatient gambler loses What's the difference between winning and losing? Not much. Here are some probabilities, presented so you can get a feel of what winning feels like. The best way to describe it? It feels like losing! Yes, you read that right it feels like losing, and that is why most gamblers crumble to the psyche, that initializes their demise! Let me explain: Let's say you're having success gambling. You are a long-term

The Importance of Line Shopping

What is your sports betting goal? Why do you bet on sports? What is your primary goal? It may sound like a silly question at first. But, there are multiple possible answers, all reasonable: To win money To enjoy watching the game more For the rush/thrill it provides What motivates you? Each answer above leads to different behavior. If you are doing this purely for entertainment and

How to Read Lines & Odds

Whether you’re a professional sports bettor or new to the betting world, the first step to winning is knowing how to read and understand betting lines and odds. It’s common for new sports bettors to be overwhelmed when visiting a sportsbook or online sports betting site, but it’s simple to read them after you know how to interpret the numbers. What are

What do the + and - Mean in Sports Betting?

Betting Odds Explained The sports betting industry continues to grow in the United States, and chances are that you are looking to break into the industry. If you are someone that is planning on betting on sports, from answering questions like ‘how do odds work?’ to ‘what does +/- mean?’, there are a few things that you need to learn before you place your first bet. How to