Both of these favorites could cover their spreads, but I think there's a better bet here and that is to parlay both Miami and Phoenix to win their respective games outright. This way we get to forget about laying the numbers and just root for the better teams, both top-seeded in their respective conferences, to just win baby! The Sixers are in trouble without Joel Embiid. Miami is 24-20 ATS at home this season, but 33-12 straight-up. Dating back to the 2019 season, the Sixers are just 10-34 straight-up on the road when facing good teams (outscoring opponents by 3+ points per game). The Heat meanwhile, are 24-6 this year after allowing 100 or fewer points including 10-2 after doing it in back-to-back games. Doc Rivers, for all his accolades, is just 40-60 in road playoff games in his career. As for the second game, Phoenix actually owns a losing ATS mark at home but they are 35-10 straight-up in this building. Dating back to last season, the Suns are 65-27 straight-up vs. winning teams. This season they are 24-6 vs. good shooting teams like Dallas (teams making 46%+ from the field) including a 16-4 record in their last 20 such games. Phoenix is also 25-7 this season vs. teams that allow 108 or fewer points per game, and 22-2 after back-to-back games shooting 50-plus percent from the field. Combine the Heat (-400) and Suns (-240) into a 2-team parlay at -130 odds.