This pick was released to clients on December 21, 2020 at 10:41AM ET.
img NFL

Cincinnati (NFL-370) ATS + Pittsburgh at Cincinnati (NFL) UNDER

December 21, 2020
img8:15 PM Eastern
Premium Pick

The Steelers have lost two straight after winning 11 in a row. What's really stood out is how much the offense has struggled, scoring 19, 17, and 15 points their past three games. It's been a difficult scheduling stretch, as they just played three games in a 12-day span that ended with Sunday night's 26-15 loss at Buffalo. Pittsburgh's offensive and defensive lines were pushed around, which is uncommon for either of those groups. QB Ben Roethlisberger is relying on a short, safe passing game that rarely throws deep downfield. And the ground game has been nonexistent getting 47, 21, and 68 yards the last three games while averaging 3.4, 2.8, and 1.5 yards per carry. Pittsburgh has topped 50 yards rushing just twice over the past seven games, allowing defenses to focus on the short passing game. This is the Steelers' second straight road game and they are 38-14-1 UNDER the total against losing teams, 25-5 UNDER as a road favorite. They're also on an 8-17 spread run as a favorite, 13-31 ATS as chalk of 10-plus points. Cincinnati plays best at home, where each of their two wins have come, allowing an average of 23.4 points in five home contests. They've also gone UNDER the total in four straight games. Look for the home team to keep this close in a low-scoring game. Combine the Bengals +14 (-101), and the Pittsburgh-Cincinnati total UNDER 40.5 (-102) into a 2-team parlay at +278 odds.

0.5 unit on 2 Team Parlay: (+278) (risk 0.5 to return 1.89)
Result:
LOSS
FINAL
1
2
3
4
F
Pittsburgh Steelers
0
0
10
7
17
Cincinnati Bengals img
3
14
0
10
27
consensus consensus
odds odds
 
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