Tampa Bay has won two in a row and five of seven after defeating Detroit on Saturday. Nikita Kucherov and Jake Guentzel had a goal and two assists to back Andrei Vasilevskiy, who stopped 39 shots for the Lightning. Tampa Bay has won four straight against teams that scored at least five goals in their previous game, and Toronto comes off a 7-3 win over Montreal. That was one less goal than the Maple Leafs had combined to score in their previous four games. Tampa Bay is 4-0-1 UNDER its past five games against opponents with winning records. This season, Toronto is 17-9-1 UNDER at home, including four of its past six. Tampa Bay has won six of nine against the Eastern Conference. Vasilevskiy is 20-13-2 with a 2.35 goals-against average, and the Lightning are in double revenge. Take the Lightning and the UNDER.
Previous Matchups & Picks


Lines & Odds
Public Consensus
Who was the public on? 63% of the public money was on Toronto Maple Leafs to win on the moneyline. And, 70% of the bets were on the game to go OVER the total.
Computer Predictions
My computer prediction for this game was that Tampa Bay would win by a score of 3.4 to 2.8 with Tampa Bay winning on the moneyline and on the puckline and the game going UNDER the total.
Premium Picks
Tampa Bay at Toronto
Final Score
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Lines & Odds
Public Consensus
Who was the public on? 59% of the public money was on Tampa Bay Lightning to win on the moneyline. And, 61% of the bets were on the game to go OVER the total.
Computer Predictions
My computer prediction for this game was that Tampa Bay would win by a score of 3.7 to 2.4 with Tampa Bay winning on the moneyline and on the puckline and the game going OVER the total.
Premium Picks
Toronto at Tampa Bay
Toronto has won nine of 13 with great defense, ranked eighth in penalty killing, third in goals allowed (2.59 per game), and fourth in save percentage (.916). While Toronto is working on two days of rest, Tampa Bay had to play an overtime game last night at Nashville. Tampa Bay's defense is 16th in goals surrendered (3.05 per game), 24th in shots on goal allowed, and 14th in save percentage (.900). They're 2-3 over the last five games losing two of those as chalk of -165 and -155. Play Toronto.
Final Score


Lines & Odds
Public Consensus
Who was the public on? 66% of the public money was on Toronto Maple Leafs to win on the moneyline. And, 59% of the bets were on the game to go OVER the total.
Computer Predictions
My computer prediction for this game was that Tampa Bay would win by a score of 3.6 to 2.7 with Tampa Bay winning on the moneyline and on the puckline and the game going UNDER the total.
Final Score


Lines & Odds
Public Consensus
Who was the public on? 56% of the public money was on Tampa Bay Lightning to win on the moneyline. And, 63% of the bets were on the game to go OVER the total.
Computer Predictions
My computer prediction for this game was that Toronto would win by a score of 2.9 to 2.8 with Toronto winning on the moneyline and on the puckline and the game going UNDER the total.
Final Score


Lines & Odds
Public Consensus
Who was the public on? 63% of the public money was on Toronto Maple Leafs to win on the moneyline. And, 66% of the bets were on the game to go OVER the total.
Computer Predictions
My computer prediction for this game was that Toronto would win by a score of 3.6 to 2.3 with Toronto winning on the moneyline, Tampa Bay winning on the puckline and the game going UNDER the total.