Winnipeg at Edmonton

Winnipeg has tallied a respectable five goals in two games, getting 27 and 37 shots on net each time. And this Edmonton squad is 16-37 ATS when they allow their opponents to get 27-31 shots on goal. Edmonton is a big favorite at home, but off a 3-2 loss to the Canucks as -160 chalk. Connor McDavid was held off the scoresheet, and goaltender Cam Talbot was chased after allowing three goals on seven shots. McDavid has failed to score a goal against only seven teams in 129 career games, including these Jets. This is a high NHL total and Edmonton is 18-7-1 UNDER at home against a team with a road winning percentage of less than .400, plus 15-3 UNDER in home games in the first half of the season. Home ice has not mattered much the last five times these rivals have clashed, with the road team winning four times, so back the dog in a defensive duel. Play Winnipeg and the UNDER.