Washington at Toronto

Washington lost key talent from last year's juggernaut and has dropped to #20 in goals scored, and #14 on the power play. The Capitals can still play defense, coming off a 3-1 win over Tampa Bay last night, containing the league's top offense. Washington goalie Braden Holtby has won eight of his last 10 starts, permitting two goals or fewer in all but one of the victories. Washington is on an 8-3 run UNDER the total and is 5-1 UNDER when playing the second of a back-to-back. Up-and-coming Toronto is playing good defense on this nice win streak, allowing 15 goals the last eight contests (5-1-2 run UNDER). The Maple Leafs are 13-6 UNDER the total playing their fourth game in six days, so look for a defensive game similar to when they last met in October, a 2-0 Toronto win. Back the UNDER.