On the surface it looks like San Jose is on a real roll, winning 11 of 13. Look closer though. Seven of those wins came vs. the worst teams in the NHL (all under .500). The real story is their games at home vs. teams that have scored 100+. Against these teams, they have not covered the -1.5 puck line since January 4th! They are not only 0-6 against the -1.5, they are 0-6 SU! In those games they were outscored 14-23. Vancouver since December 19th is 6-1 vs 100+ point teams to the +1.5 on the road, breaking even in goals 16-16. Four of the seven games were outright wins. We have tremendous value on this game. San Jose has been losing at home to high-caliber teams while Vancouver has been winning on the road vs. these same teams. So we have them at +144 in a 10-3 recent history situation, and also 12-1 in a +1.5 -210 situation.
This pick was released to clients on August 09, 2012 at 4:13PM ET.
NHL
Vancouver at San Jose
April 7, 2007
4:00 PM Eastern
2 units on Vancouver +144 (moneyline) (risk 2 to return 4.88)
Result:
WIN
WIN
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