Vancouver at Arizona

Vancouver is 16-6 at home but just 7-10 on the road where their defense has failed them. Phoenix is 9-11 on the road but good at home, going 15-5 thanks to a defense that allows just 2.0 goals per game here. Vancouver has struggled against the power play this season, allowing 21% conversion on the road and the Coyotes are 20-10 this season vs. teams that allow 17.5%+ power play conversion. Phoenix is also 19-9 vs. teams that score 2.9+ goals per game and a perfect 5-0 as a home dog. I like the home dog here. I also like the OVER. While the Coyotes have kept opponents to just 2.0 goals per game at home, Vancouver's road defense is horrible, allowing 3.1 goals per game. And, they can score (averaging 3.2 goals per game on the season and even more of late). This total is set low thanks to Phoenix's UNDER history. But, Vancouver is 10-7 OVER on the road. I like the OVER here.