Toronto at Washington

The Capitals have struggled on their home ice of late, having lost three of their last four here. Overall they are just 5-11 in their last 16 games. Toronto on the other hand is 4-3 in their last seven. I like the hotter team here at this price. The Maple Leafs have been a very good road team this season, going 9-6 thanks to 3.4 goals per game. Toronto is 8-1 in their last nine road games when posted as an underdog of up to +150. They are also 20-8 in their last 28 games following a poor offensive showing (2 or fewer goals scored). Take Toronto as they have a 50%+ chance of winning this game in my book.