Toronto at Tampa Bay

Tampa Bay relies on defense to get it done at home. They are 12-7 UNDER here this year. Toronto scores a lot and allows a lot but will this game get to seven goals? Consider that this is the time of year Tampa Bay has historically turned to defense. They are 14-5 UNDER at home in January games the past two seasons. They know they can't run up the score here and have a chance to win so they will try to keep it lower scoring. We'll go UNDER here too.