Toronto at Tampa Bay

Look for a lot of points in this one. Both teams score and play no defense. We like Vesa Toskala to have a lot of success tonight. He leads the NHL with 51 points and will get a crack at Vesa Toskala and his 2.71 GAA. The key here is the location of the game. Toronto gets 3.4 goals per game at home but just 2.8 per game on the road. Tampa Bay scores 2.3 per game on the road but 3.6 at home! The Lightning are 29-13 at home the past three seasons when favored on the moneyline up to -150. Tampa Bay is 14-7 OVER this season vs. losing teams and 12-3 OVER vs. teams that allow 30+ shots against per game. Toronto is 16-5 OVER the past three seasons on the road after two straight losses. We like Tampa Bay on the puckline in a very high-scoring game.