This pick was released to clients on April 29, 2023 at 5:14AM ET.
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Toronto at Tampa Bay

April 29, 2023
img7:15 PM Eastern
Premium Pick

Toronto is up 3-2 in the series and has been a terrific bounce-back team. After their last seven defeats, the Maple Leafs have bounced back to win all seven by scores of 5-2, 6-2, 3-2, 3-0, 4-2, 7-1, and 7-2. That included a one-sided win in Game 2 at Tampa Bay. Toronto is Top 10 in the NHL in goals and shooting percentage, while the defense is sixth in goals given up, seventh in shots on goal allowed, and 10th in save percentage. The offense gets forward Michael Bunting back in the lineup after a three-game suspension, who is fifth on the team in points. The Maple Leafs are 25-7 after a loss, 20-5 revenging a home loss to an opponent, plus 36-16 after scoring 2 goals or fewer in the last game. Tampa Bay is just 6-11 over the last 17 contests. The defense is 20th in shots on goal allowed, 14th in goals surrendered, and 15th in penalty killing. Tampa Bay is 25-31 against teams that average 3+ goals and they've lost five of the last seven versus Toronto. With the road team winning five of the last six meetings, back the visitors. Play Toronto.

1.5 units on Toronto -102 (moneyline) (risk 1.5 to return 2.97)
Result:
WIN
FINAL
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Toronto Maple Leafs img
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Tampa Bay Lightning
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