Toronto at Ottawa

The second of a back-to-back spot for both teams, which means they are likely to slow the pace down. For Ottawa, the UNDER is 4-1-1 in the Senators last six games when playing on no rest, and 19-7-4 UNDER the total in the Senators last 30 in the third game of a 3-in-4 days situation. This is not a team that opens things up offensively when they are in a "tired" situation. For Toronto they have a strong offense but less so on the road. And when they play a good team on the road, notice that the UNDER is 4-0 in the Maple Leafs last four road games against a team with a home winning percentage of greater than .600 (Ottawa is 4-2 at home). When these teams meet we see nothing but lower scoring games, as the UNDER is 10-4-1 in the last 15 meetings in Ottawa and 9-4 UNDER the total in their last 13 meetings overall. Look for fewer goals than oddsmakers expect, so play UNDER the total.