Toronto at Ottawa

Toronto has won the last two games in this matchup and come in hot having won three of four. Ottawa's defense gives anyone a chance to beat them (they are allowing 3.0 per game at home). Toronto has a winning record vs. winning teams the past two seasons while Ottawa has underperformed vs. losing teams this season. This season, the Leafs are 18-8 UNDER on the road and 13-4 UNDER vs. teams that average 3+ goals per game. Ottawa is 24-13 UNDER vs. losing teamst eh past two seasons. Toronto is 11-4 UNDER on the road to a total of 6+ this season. We like Toronto and the UNDER here.