Toronto at Minnesota

Toronto is a streaky team because they don't play any defense at #25 in goals allowed. You need defense to win on the road and the Maple Leafs are 7-16 in their last 23 road games. Toronto is having a lot of trouble defensively, giving up 27 goals in a 2-5-0 stretch. Minnesota struggles on the road at times, but they are terrific at home at 9-4-4, anchored by good defense at home. Toronto's offense is much better at home, riding a 5-2 run UNDER the total on the road. Minnesota is 7-3-3 UNDER the total against the Eastern Conference and when these teams meet the home team is 9-3 in the last 12 meetings. Play Minnesota and take the UNDER.