Buffalo has lost four straigh and four straight at home. The biggest culprit is Martin Biron, who is stopping just 81.7% of SOG at home this season. The Sabres are allowing division opponents a 27.6% power play conversion percentage. Toronto is converting 30.4% PP on the road so look for that to be a factor tonight. Toronto is scoring 4.2 goals per game on the road while Buffalo is allowing 5 per game over their last five. Home teams after allowing 3 goals or more 5 straight games facing an opponent after scoring 4 goals or more in 2 straight games are 11-26 (30%) since 1996. On the flip side, road teams at -100 to -150 after 4 or more consecutive overs, in a game involving two average teams (-0.4 to +0.4 goal/game diff.) are 22-4 (85%) since 1996. One star on the Maple Leafs.
This pick was released to clients on August 04, 2012 at 12:57PM ET.
NHL
Toronto at Buffalo
November 11, 2005
8:05 PM Eastern
1 unit on Toronto -114 (moneyline) (risk 1 to return 1.88)
Result:
LOSS
LOSS
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