Toronto at Buffalo

The Toronto Maple Leafs have a horrible overall record, so when looking at this team it is easy to stay away from them. They started the season coming out on the right side just three times in their first 20 games, giving all who look their way a jaded look at that. What has been the story since then is a team that has played .500 hockey coming out on the right side of 12 of their last 24, and as a dog they have been a winning team at 7-6. The Sabres have taken five straight and with the lowly Leafs in town, what a place to take a night off as they handled them here rather easily 5-2 last time. There is certainly value on the line with a team that is over 50% in the win column in their last 13 as a dog. Remember that they won in Pittsburgh too. The Sabres are a good team but they could very well get caught sleep walking here, so I'll go with Toronto.