Toronto at Boston

The Toronto Maple Leafs out-skated and out-played Boston on the road in Game 1 on their way to an easy 4-1 victory. Toronto has been a pesky group in Boston as the series is 5-5 in the last 10 meetings here. Boston has allowed four or more goals in five of its last eight games, so cleaning things up may not be so easy. Boston bested Toronto by seven points in the regular season, and past first round teams that beat their opponent in the regular season by seven points are just 18-15 in NHL history in winning the first-round series. I like the value here and will go with Toronto.