Toronto at Atlanta

Toronto is playing very well right now while Atlanta has been mediocre. But we like the Thrashers here at home. While Atlanta is 3-3 over their last six, they are 2-1 at home vs. 1-2 on the road. They are off a home loss and will be motivated here not to drop two straight before having to return to the road. Toronto is just 3-10 this season vs. poor defensive teams. They are also just 18-34 the past three seasons off a home win and 1-8 off a blowout win by 4+ goals. Toronto is 17-12 OVER this season. Atlanta is 7-5 OVER at home. The Leafs are 7-1 OVER this season off back-to-back home games. The past two seasons, Atlanta is 11-3 OVER after allowing 3+ goals in two straight games and 9-2 OVER off a loss by 2+ goals. Thrashers on the puckline and the OVER here.