This pick was released to clients on October 18, 2014 at 9:42AM ET.
img NHL

Tampa Bay at Vancouver

October 18, 2014
img10:05 PM Eastern
Premium Pick

The Vancouver Canucks lost their way a season ago after a good start, the team just seemed to go into a funk and they could never get out. This season they have started on the fast track at 3-0, as Tampa Bay at 2-1 comes to play tonight. I'm not really sold on the Canucks' fast start as it has come at the expense of three games vs. teams that are a combined 3-11 to start the season, and those teams have been outscored by 15 goals. Tampa Bay is 2-1-1 to start the season against a much more difficult schedule, and outside of a lopsided 7-1 win vs. Montreal, their games have all been played on the defensive end. The Lightning's four opponents have all failed to top the 2-goal mark in regulation in any of their games. While Vancouver has had some offensive success in their 3-0 start, that has all come at the expense of a schedule of teams that are combining to allow over 4 goals per contest, and this will be their first time all season going against a team that can play a little defense, so I can see them getting flustered as things won't come as easy. The Canucks have been plagued when following a poor offensive performance as they are 8-23 in their last 31 after scoring 2 goals or fewer in their previous game, and playing on no rest has been a disaster as they are 1-7 in their last eight on zero rest. The Lightning are well rested, and are 4-1 in the last five meetings, and just one of Tampa Bays' last six games played on three or more days of rest have gotten OVER the total. Take Tampa Bay and grab the UNDER.

2 units on Tampa Bay +105 (moneyline) (risk 2 to return 4.1)
Result:
WIN
1 unit on Game Total UNDER 5.5 -115 (risk 1 to return 1.87)
Result:
LOSS
FINAL
1
2
3
F
Tampa Bay Lightning img
2
1
1
4
Vancouver Canucks
1
1
0
2
consensus consensus
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