Tampa Bay at Toronto

The Tampa Bay Lightning has been the tale of two teams. They have yet to record a loss at home, but on the road they have yet to record a win. They have outscored opponents by a full goal per game on home ice, but have been getting hammered on the road. The road tally shows 25 goals against to only eight scored, and three of those eight came in game one, so they have put the puck through the net just five times in their last four on the road. Overall, they have been outscored by 3.4 goals per game. The Maple Leafs are not shining and are still looking for home win number one, but have the right team in which to record it tonight. The Lightning are just a woeful 46-108-11 playing on no rest, while the Maple Leafs have scored the win in four of their last five against an opponent who allowed five or more goals in their last game. The Lightning are just 4-11-1 in their last 16 in Toronto, and I'll back the Maple Leafs in this one.