Tampa Bay at Toronto

The Toronto Maple Leafs are a poor hockey team. Anytime they are posted as a favorite, you have to look for reasons to play against them. The Maple Leafs have surprisingly been a favorite 19 times on the season and are just 5-14 in those games. Recently, they have been an even worse 1-7, so the plus odds here with the Lightning certainly show some immediate value, especially when you factor in that they have won six of the last eight meetings between these two clubs. The Maple Leafs are also just 1-8 in their last nine games when playing a team with a losing record. I'll go with a live dog here, and back Tampa Bay.