Tampa Bay at St. Louis

Tampa Bay's defense has really stepped things up of late, allowing just 1.8 goals per game over their last six games. St. Louis has played great defense all season long, allowing 2.4 per game (2.2 at home and 2.0 over their last five). In their last six vs. Western Confernce teams, the Lightning are a perfect 6-0 to the UNDER. I look for defense to rule the roost here and for this game to come in UNDER the total.